Decadal Variability & Predictability Webinar Series

 
 
The Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) Program of NOAA’s Climate Program Office invites you to participate in an upcoming webinar series showcasing CVP-supported projects focused on advancing our understanding of decadal climate variability and predictability. The webinar series will run from September 2 - October 21, 2015, and will feature ten projects over the course of five afternoon sessions.

 

Prediction of climate at the decadal timescale is essential to long-term planning in a number of fields - from water resource management to urban planning and emergency management - but predictions at this scale face unique challenges when compared to short-term weather forecasts and long-term climate projections. While operational weather forecasts rely on proper initialization using observations, and while climate projections rely on scenarios of external forcing and a well-calibrated climate model, decadal-scale projections require that all of these perform well, skillfully simulating phenomena such as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).

 

This webinar series covers a variety of topics in decadal predictability, including the changing tropical atmospheric circulation, AMOC, oceanic heat storage and Antarctic glacial melt, and monsoon and hurricane activity predicted at the decadal scale.

 

We hope you will join us for the first presentation at 2pm EDT on September 2, 2015. To access the live schedule and to sign up to view individual webinar sessions, please visit: http://cpo.noaa.gov/cvp-webinars

 

Below is the current schedule:
Decadal Variability & Predictability Webinar Series Schedule 
Date/Time Title & Presenters (presenting investigator listed first)

Wednesday
2 September 2015
2-3 PM EDT

Register for Webinar

 
Sensitivity Patterns of Atlantic Meridional Overturning and Related Climate Diagnostics over the Instrumental Period
Martha Buckley (GMU); Patrick Heimbach (UT at Austin); Rui Ponte (AER)
Mechanisms of Low-Frequency Variability of the Atmospheric Circulation Over the 20th Century
Brian Soden (University of Miami)

Wednesday
16 September 2015
2-3 PM EDT

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Decadal Variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and Its Impact on the Climate: Two Regimes and Rapid Transition
Young-Oh Kwon & Claude Frankignoul (WHOI); Gokhan Danabasoglu (NCAR)
Decadal Variability and Predictability of the West African Monsoon and Downstream Atlantic Hurricane Activity
Elinor Martin (OU); Christopher D. Thorncroft (SUNY - Albany)

Wednesday
30 September 2015
2-3 PM EDT

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Decadal Variability in the State of the Upper Tropical Pacific: A Consequence of Scale Interaction?
De-Zheng Sun (NOAA/ESRL)
To Be Announced
TBA

Wednesday
7 October 2015
2-3 PM EDT

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Assessing the Sensitivity of Northward Heat Transport / Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Forcing in Existing Numerical Model Simulations
Shenfu Dong (NOAA/AOML)
Decadal Prediction Over the Americas: Atlantic vs Pacific Processes
Ben Kirtman (University of Miami); Robert Burgman (FIU)

Wednesday
21 October 2015
2-3 PM EDT

Register for Webinar

 
Assessing Unstoppable Change: Ocean Heat Storage and Antarctic Glacial Ice Melt
Douglas Martinson (LDEO); Sarah Gille (Scripps)
Decadal and Multidecadal Variability of the AMOC in Observational Records and Numerical Models
Dongxiao Zhang (NOAA/PMEL and JISAO/U Washington); Michael McPhaden (NOAA/PMEL)