Decadal Variability & Predictability Webinar Series
Submitted by Lei Han on Mon, 2015-08-24 08:32
The Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) Program of NOAA’s Climate Program Office invites you to participate in an upcoming webinar series showcasing CVP-supported projects focused on advancing our understanding of decadal climate variability and predictability. The webinar series will run from September 2 - October 21, 2015, and will feature ten projects over the course of five afternoon sessions.
Prediction of climate at the decadal timescale is essential to long-term planning in a number of fields - from water resource management to urban planning and emergency management - but predictions at this scale face unique challenges when compared to short-term weather forecasts and long-term climate projections. While operational weather forecasts rely on proper initialization using observations, and while climate projections rely on scenarios of external forcing and a well-calibrated climate model, decadal-scale projections require that all of these perform well, skillfully simulating phenomena such as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).
This webinar series covers a variety of topics in decadal predictability, including the changing tropical atmospheric circulation, AMOC, oceanic heat storage and Antarctic glacial melt, and monsoon and hurricane activity predicted at the decadal scale.
We hope you will join us for the first presentation at 2pm EDT on September 2, 2015. To access the live schedule and to sign up to view individual webinar sessions, please visit: http://cpo.noaa.gov/cvp-webinars
Below is the current schedule:
Decadal Variability & Predictability Webinar Series Schedule
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Date/Time | Title & Presenters (presenting investigator listed first) |
Wednesday |
Sensitivity Patterns of Atlantic Meridional Overturning and Related Climate Diagnostics over the Instrumental Period Martha Buckley (GMU); Patrick Heimbach (UT at Austin); Rui Ponte (AER) |
Mechanisms of Low-Frequency Variability of the Atmospheric Circulation Over the 20th Century Brian Soden (University of Miami) |
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Wednesday |
Decadal Variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and Its Impact on the Climate: Two Regimes and Rapid Transition Young-Oh Kwon & Claude Frankignoul (WHOI); Gokhan Danabasoglu (NCAR) |
Decadal Variability and Predictability of the West African Monsoon and Downstream Atlantic Hurricane Activity Elinor Martin (OU); Christopher D. Thorncroft (SUNY - Albany) |
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Wednesday |
Decadal Variability in the State of the Upper Tropical Pacific: A Consequence of Scale Interaction? De-Zheng Sun (NOAA/ESRL) |
To Be Announced TBA |
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Wednesday |
Assessing the Sensitivity of Northward Heat Transport / Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Forcing in Existing Numerical Model Simulations Shenfu Dong (NOAA/AOML) |
Decadal Prediction Over the Americas: Atlantic vs Pacific Processes Ben Kirtman (University of Miami); Robert Burgman (FIU) |
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Wednesday |
Assessing Unstoppable Change: Ocean Heat Storage and Antarctic Glacial Ice Melt Douglas Martinson (LDEO); Sarah Gille (Scripps) |
Decadal and Multidecadal Variability of the AMOC in Observational Records and Numerical Models Dongxiao Zhang (NOAA/PMEL and JISAO/U Washington); Michael McPhaden (NOAA/PMEL) |