14th Session of CLIVAR Pacific Region Panel
14th Session of CLIVAR Pacific Region Panel and
CLIVAR PRP/PICES WG40 Joint Workshop on Climate and Ecosystem Predictability in the Pacific
2. Preliminary Agenda
6. Meeting Report
The meeting will take place at Victoria Convention Center, in Victoria, Canada.
Address: 720 Douglas Street, Victoria, BC V8W 3M7, Canada
- Oct. 19 (Saturday): CLIVAR Pacific Region Panel Meeting - Colwood (level 2)
- Oct. 20 (Sunday): CLIVAR PRP/PICES WG-40 Joint Workshop on Climate and Ecosystem Predictability in the Pacific - Upper Pavilion (level 1, glasshouse outside the building)
Oct. 19 (Saturday): CLIVAR Pacific Region Panel Meeting (Venue: Colwood on level 2) Download the PRP-14 agenda
1. Status of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability paper, which should be very close to completion or submitted by then, and possible steps forward on that topic undertaken by the panel.
2. Integration of low-latitude western boundary current and maritime continent observations into a unified multi-platform observing system.
3. Discussion on ENSO conceptual models.
4. ENSO metrics: Status and next steps.
5. Way forward in exchanging with TPOS2020.
6. Possible panel activities including marine biogeochemistry.
7. Discussion of possible PRP interactions with Southern Ocean and Arctic Panels as recommended by the SSG.
8. Additional discussion items by panel members.
1.Updates on panel activities
|09:00 - 09:15||1.1 Report on ENSO Conceptual Models||Jerome Vialard|
|09:15 - 09:30||1.2 ENSO metrics: Status and next steps||Andrew|
|09:30 - 09:45||1.3 Update on Wiley book: ENSO in a changing climate||Mike McPhaden|
|09:45 - 10:00||1.4 Status of 2020 ENSO Summer School||Antonietta Capotondi|
|10:00 - 10:30||Coffee break|
|10:30 - 11:30||1.5 Western Boundary Current and ITF activities: Report and way-forward towards unified mutiplatform observing systems||Xiaopei Lin/Janet Sprintall|
|11:30 - 12:30||1.6 Status of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability Science Paper||Mat/Antonietta|
|12:30 - 14:00||Lunch|
|2. Workplan for 2020 and onward?|
|14:00 - 14:15||2.1 Report on US CLIVAR Working Group workshop on ocean isotopes and possible cross-activities||Samantha Stevenson|
|14:15 - 15:00||2.2 Way forward with TPOS2020||Matthieu/Antonietta|
|15:00 -15:15||2.3 Possible panel activities including marine biogeochemistry||Antonietta Capotondi|
|15:15 - 15:30||2.4 Possible PRP interactions with Southern Ocean and Arctic Panels|
|16:00 - 16:30||2.5 Future involvement with ANDEX||Mat/Antonietta|
|16:30 - 17:00||2.6 What’s next after Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability paper||Mat/Antonietta|
|3. Other panel businesses|
|17:00 - 17:30||3.1 Membership||Mat/Antonietta|
|17:30 - 17:45||3.2 Next PRP meeting||All|
|17:45 - 18:00||3.3 Panel report to SSG||All|
Oct. 20 (Sunday): CLIVAR PRP/PICES WG-40 Joint Workshop on Climate and Ecosystem Predictability in the Pacific (Venue: Oak Bay-2 on level 1)
The aim of this meeting is to synthetize our current state of knowledge on the sources of predictability arising from the large-scale climate for marine ecosystems, or their physical drivers, along the coasts of the North Pacific rim. During the meeting we aim to compare and contrast the sources of predictability on the two sides of the Pacific, identify the most effective mechanisms leading to predictability, and gain insights from research in other parts of the World Ocean.
PICES WG-40 Businesss Meeting
|10:20-10:30||Welcome and Introduction of participants|
|10:30-10:50||Motivation and development of WG-40||Emanuele Di Lorenzo|
|10:50-11:10||Mechanisms of predictability in the eastern North Pacific||Mike Jacox|
|11:10-11:30||Mechanisms of predictability in the western North Pacific||Shoshiro Minobe|
|11:30-11:50||Forecasting with Empirical Models: How important is ENSO for US West Coast warming?||Antonietta Capotondi|
|11:50-12:10||Forecasting with Empirical Models: Toward a unified platform for assessing predictability
along the eastern and western Pacific coastlines
|14:00 - 14:20||Forecasting with Numerical Models: Ocean and Climate Prediction Efforts in the Eastern Pacific||Fangli Qiao|
|14:00-14:20||Ecosystem Forecasting with Empirical Models: Predicting annual to interannual fluctuations in
sardines and anchovies
|Akinori Takasuka (remote)|
|14:20-14:40||Predicting interannual anomalies in biogeochemical conditions in the California Current||Ryan
|14:40-15:00||AMO-induced multi-decadal variability in the tropical Pacific Ocean||Xiaopei Lin|
|15:00-15:20||Use of Machine Learning techniques in forecasting applications: Successes in ENSO Predictions||Jing-Jia Luo|
|15:35-15:55||The North Pacific pacemaker effect on ENSO and its mechanisms||Yu Kosaka|
|15:55-16:15||Mechanisms of Marine Heat Waves in the Tasman Sea in the Presence of global warming||Xuebin Zhang|
Mechanisms driving the projected weakening of summer primary productivity of the Arabian
|Matthieu Lengaigne||LOCEAN||France||PRP Co-chair|
|Antonietta Capotondi||University of Colorado||USA||PRP Co-chair|
|Xiaopei Lin||Ocean University of China||China||PRP Member|
|Janet Sprintall||Scripps Institution of Oceanography||USA||PRP Member|
|Xuebin Zhang||CSIRO||Australia||PRP Member|
|Jerome Vialard||LOCEAN||France||PRP Member|
|Yu Kosaka||The University of Tokyo||Japan||PRP Member|
|Yukiko Imada||Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency||Japan||PRP Member|
|Samantha Stevenson||University of California at Santa Barbara||USA||PRP Member|
|Andrew Wittenberg||NOAA GFDL||USA||PRP Member|
|Michael McPhaden||Chair / Tropical Moored Buoy Implementation Panel||USA||PRP Ex-officio|
|Jing Li (TBC)||International CLIVAR Project Office (ICPO)||China||ICPO Staff|
There are several hotels that are offfering special rate for the 2019 PICES Annual Meeting, for more details please refer to https://meetings.pices.int/meetings/annual/2019/pices/accommodation
Participants who are going to participate both the PRP meeting and PRP-PICES WG40 joint workshop need to register for the 2019 PICES annual meeting via https://meetings.pices.int/meetings/annual/2019/pices/registration