- About
- The Science
- CLIVAR Frontiers and Imperatives
- Frontier 1: Anthropogenic Climate Change
- Frontier 2: Decadal variability, predictability and prediction
- Frontier 3: Intra-seasonal and seasonal predictability and prediction
- Imperative 1: Improved atmosphere and ocean component models of Earth System Models
- Imperative 2: Data synthesis, analysis, reanalysis and uncertainty
- Imperative 3: Ocean observing system
- Imperative 4: Capacity building
- CLIVAR Endorsed Projects & Activities
- CLIVAR Objectives
- CLIVAR Successes
- CLIVAR Frontiers and Imperatives
- Panels and Working Groups
- Global
- PAGES/CLIVAR Intersection Working Group
- CCl/CLIVAR/JCOMM Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI)
- Global Synthesis and Observations Panel (GSOP)
- WGCM/CLIVAR Working Group on Ocean Model Development (WGOMD)
- Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Prediction
- Working Group on Coupled Modelling (WGCM)
- Regional
- National Programmes
- Global
- Extremes Cross-Cut
- Calendar
- Resources
- Publications
DIG Member Profiles
Amir AghaKouchak
University of California, USA
I am currently involved in developing a multi-sensor satellite-based gauge adjusted global precipitation data set that can be used for a variety of hydrometeorologic application including drought detection, monitoring and analysis. We, at the Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing - University of California Irvine, are now extending satellite-based precipitation data back to 1983 when IR data became available. The aim of our work is to build a dataset for climate studies including drought analysis and monitoring.
Pihnas Alpert
Tel-Aviv University, Israel
As you all know Israel, and the Mediterranean in general, are on a very sharp climatic gradient and in recent years I looked carefully in the observations as well as regional climate modeling we perform in Tel-Aviv Univ, in order to monitor and better understand what may happen in the near future with the drought line.
You are welcome to see my publications and download in my website:
http://www.tau.ac.il/~pinhas/publications.htm
Ileana Bladé
University of Barcelona, Spain
Matlala Boshomane
Limpopo Department of Agriculture, Polokwane
Eleanor Burke
UK Met Office, UK
Wenju Cai
Australian Commonwealth Scientific and Research Organization (CSIRO), Australia
In the context that Australia has been experiencing the worst drought over a century, much of my research is on (1) whether the rainfall deficiency is a manifestation of global warming-induced changing weather pattern, (2) how the changing climate with rising temperature might exacerbate the impact, and (3) how the drought condition might project onto extreme events such as heat waves and bushfires.
As our rainfall variations are controlled by what I called the three-headed dog "ENSO, the Indian Ocean Dipole, and the SAM". Linking to the above issues are bigger questions of how each head of the dog is changing, whether that is consistent with what is expected from their response to climate change, through to the question of how the frequency, severity and duration of drought may change in a warming world.
Tereza Cavazos
Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada, Mexico
I work in the department of Physical Oceanography in CICESE, a research center in Baja California, Mexico. I am currently the CICESE's PI for the Baja California State Climate Action Plan (http://peac-bc.cicese.mx). In this project, we produced ensemble regional climate change scenarios for NW Mexico and the SW USA, and the future looks pretty dry, so I am interested in studying future droughts in this region with CMIP5 (when the data is available). I am a member of the Variability of American Monsoons (VAMOS/CLIVAR) group and I've been working on extreme rainfall events in the North American monsoon region.
My latest paper on extreme rainfall is:
Arriaga-Ramirez, S., and T. Cavazos (2010), Regional trends of daily precipitation indices in Northwest Mexico and the Southwest United States, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2009JD013248, in press.(accepted 6 April 2010)
Valery Detemmerman
WCRP, Switzerland
Nazzareno Diodato
Met European Research Observatory
- Diodato N., Bellocchi G., 2011. Historical perspective of drought response in Mediterranean Italy. Climate Research (Early View) doi: 10.3354/cr01020
- Diodato N., Tartari G., Bellocchi G., 2011. How do Himalayan areas respond to global warming? International J. Climatology
- Diodato N., Bellocchi G., Ceccarelli M., 2010. GIS-aided evaluation of evapotranspiration at multiple spatial and temporal climate patterns using geoindicators. Ecological Indicators 10 (5), 1009-1016
- Diodato N., Bellocchi G., 2008. Drought stress patterns in Italy using agro-climatic indicators. Climate Research 36, 53-63
- Diodato N., Bellocchi G., 2008. Modelling NDVI responses to climate variability in Mediterranean terrestrial ecosystem. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 44, 147-159
My homepage is here.
Hervé Douville
Météo France, France
Anmin Duan
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), China
Tayeb El Hassani
Insitut Agronomique et Vétérinaire Hassan II, Morocco
I am agronomist by training (Moroccan, French and British Schools of thought) which allows me to have a large spectrum of interactions with experts on the subject. I have been Professor of Agronomy at IAV Faculty, Morocco from 1975 to 2007, with strong interest in drought research since 1999. Since then till now I have been working on R&D projects including drought essentially in the Mediterranean and in the Near East. Within IAV Faculty, I was pleased to be part of a Network including Prof. Wilhite (ex- Director of NDMC: National Drought Mitigation Centre, now Dean of School of Natural Resources, Univ of Nebraska) and other colleagues in Research and Higher Education Institutions in the Mediterranean. We investigated a great deal of the different facets of drought preparedness and we produced a useful interactive manual for researchers, university students and managers. In IAV, I set up a multidisciplinary team which is now associated with the preparation of an European Union Project on "Drought and climate change in Africa" , coordinated by Wageningen University and, if selected, it will be financed by European Commission, as was the case with previous projects.
In 2008, I was offered an assignment as senior consultant with FAO Regional Office for the Near East, and I regretably left my Institution - but hopefully I continued to work on strategic drought planning issues in the region. A more practical manual on drought management in the Near East was produced with the collaboration of the Water management experts of FAO and NDMC. More recently in February 2010, I was invited by UNESCO to organize a Workshop on drought preparedness strategy for Iraq (as I previously coordinated an FAO project on Drought preparedness strategy for Iran).
Matthew England
University of New South Wales, Australia
My core interests revolve around the role of the oceans in climate variability and climate change, including the physics/dynamics/impacts of the major modes of variability (ENSO, the IOD [if it really is a mode], the Southern Annular Mode, the NAO, PSA etc). I have a Southern Hemisphere bias (I currently co-Chair the CLIVAR Southern Ocean regional panel), but am equally interested in climate variability at mid-high northern latitudes. Most of my work involves the analysis of observations and coupled climate models (from simple ICCMs through to full GCMs), although I also stray into AGCM work, coupled ice-ocean models, and a variety of analytic approaches. For more details of my research interests, publications etc. see here.
Brad Garanganga
Southern Africa Develoment Community Drought Monitoring Centre (SADC DMC), Botswana
Ge Gao
China Meteorological Administration, China
Pavel Groisman
NOAA National Climatic Data Center, USA
My major scientific interests are in hydrological and meteorological characteristics of droughts (including "fire" weather) and their trend analyses in changing climate. My three latest papers devoted to this topic are:
- Groisman, P.Ya., B.G. Sherstyukov, V.N. Razuvaev, R.W. Knight, J.G. Enloe, N.S. Stroumentova, P. H. Whitfield, E. Førland, I. Hannsen-Bauer, H. Tuomenvirta, H. Aleksandersson, A. V. Mescherskaya, and T.R. Karl, 2007: Potential forest fire danger over Northern Eurasia: Changes during the 20th century. Global and Planetary Change, 56, issue 3-4, 371-386.
- Groisman, P.Ya. and R.W. Knight, 2007: Prolonged dry episodes over North America: New tendencies emerging during the last 40 years. Advances in Earth Science, 22, No.11, 1191-1207.
- Groisman, P.Ya. and R.W. Knight, 2008: Prolonged dry episodes over the conterminous United States: New tendencies emerging during the last 40 years. J. Climate, 21, No. 9, 1850–1862.
Richard Harding
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, UK
Willem Landman
Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR), South Africa
Willem A. Landman is employed by the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) in South Africa. He develops seasonal rainfall and temperature forecasting systems for southern Africa and global SST forecast systems. These systems are based on a multi-model forecast approach which includes forecasts from global models being run at the CSIR, the University of Cape Town, the South African Weather Service, and international institutions such as the International Research Institute for Climate and Society in New York, and the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology. He has published widely on seasonal forecasting systems, including a recent paper in the International Journal of Climatology entitled “Multi-model forecast skill for mid-summer rainfall over southern Africa” which, among other issues, demonstrates the predictability of mid-summer drought conditions over southern Africa.
Rick Lawford
University of Manitoba, Canada
I direct the US CLIVAR Project Office in Washington, DC. US CLIVAR is very supportive of research aimed at improving our understanding of the predictability of drought on time scales of weeks to centuries. US CLIVAR supports the activities of the WCRP Drougt Interest Group. In my research career, I had many scientific interests, including ocean remote sensing, ocean-atmosphere interactions, and the use of climate information in agriculture.
Brad Lyon
International Research Insitute for Climate and Society (IRI), USA
I'm a climate research scientist who has been working at the IRI here at Columbia university for about the past 11 years. My work has focused on observational and model diagnostic studies, primarily of seasonal-to-interannual climate variability but more recently also in the area of climate change. I have long been interested in the topic of drought in terms of its physical attributes, predictability and impacts. In addition to climate diagnostic studies (ENSO-related, drought and heat waves, etc.) I've worked in the Philippines to develop probabilistic seasonal inflow forecasts for the Angat (primary) reservoir in Luzon and on other applied climate projects at the IRI. I'm currently working on a project to develop probabilistic drought (index) prediction tools for the US and Mexico based on statistical-dynamical modeling approaches.
My personal page at the IRI is here.
Annarita Mariotti
University of Maryland, USA and Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Italy
A major focus of my research work in recent years has been to study climate and water cycle variability in the Mediterranean region and parts of Southwest Asia. I've explored interannual variations associated with mid-latitude and tropical influences, and the impacts on water resources and ecosystems. Decadal to centennial changes in Mediterranean water cycle, including decadal predictability are current research interests.
I'm involved in Med-CLIVAR and HyMeX (HYdrological cycle in the Mediterranean EXperiment), a 10-year program to study water cycle variability in the Mediterranean, including droughts. I'm a Research Scientist at the University of Maryland, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC) and I'm also affiliated with the Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA).
My homepage is here.
Pierre-Phillipe Mathieu
European Space Agency, Italy
Roberto Mechoso
University of California, USA
Kingtse Mo
NOAA Climate Prediction Center, USA
I have been working at the Climate Prediction Center for almost 20 years. I am interested in diagnostics and forecasts. Recently, I am involved in the drought related research and operation at cpc. We are monitoring drought over the United States. Each month, we do drought briefing for our drought monitor authors and drought forecasters.
Sumant Nigam
ESSIC, University of Maryland, USA
Sumant Nigam's interest in droughts dates back to the late 1990s - to Mathew Barlow's doctoral research. The related papers (Nigam et al. 1999, Barlow et al. 2002) were among the first to observationally document the influence of Pacific decadal SST variability on North American hydroclimate, making the case for a significant SST role in generation of North American droughts. Subsequent work with colleague, Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas (2005, 2006), showed that atmospheric and terrestrial water cycles over the Great Plains were often misrepresented in the leading atmospheric-land surface general circulation models on account of a greater role for evapotranspiration (and heightened land-atmosphere interactions) in the models, limiting the models' utility in analysis of drought mechanisms. More recent work with Bin Guan (readied for submission) shows the striking role of the Atlantic basin, especially Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, in generation of North American droughts, particularly during spring and fall. The analysis with Guan leads to remarkable reconstruction of most (but not all) droughts, enabling evaluation of the basin roles and influence mechanisms.
- Nigam, S., B. Guan, and A. Ruiz-Barradas, 2011: Key role of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in 20th century drought and wet periods over the Great Plains. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L16713, doi:10.1029/2011GL048650
- Nigam, S., M. Barlow, and E.H. Berbery, 1999: Pacific decadal SST variability: Impact on U.S. drought and streamflow. Eos, Transactions, AGU, Vol. 80, 51 (Dec. 21), 621-625
- Barlow, M., S. Nigam, and E.H. Berbery, 2002: ENSO, Pacific decadal variability and U.S. summertime precipitation, drought, and streamflow. J. Climate, 14, 2105-2128
- Ruiz-Barradas, A., and S. Nigam, 2005: Warm-season rainfall variability over the US Great Plains in Observations, NCEP and ERA-40 Reanalyses, and NCAR and NASA Atmospheric Model Simulations. J. Climate, 18, 1808-1830
- Ruiz-Barradas, A., and S. Nigam, 2006: Great Plains hydroclimate variability: The view from North American Regional Reanalysis. J. Climate, 19, 3004-3010.
Other drought related publications
Leonard Njau
African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD), Niger
I have been involved in climate research focusing on prediction of extreme climate events, the droughts and floods among others.The attached is one of my project proposals for a research programme on development of drought early warning and prediction tools for the Sahel (Niger) that I initiated sometime back. I recently participated in the formulation of project ALERT (Africa Long-range Early waRning systems for droughT), an EU FP7-AFRICA-2010 call coordinated by UK Met Office and I was designated to lead Work Package 6 on Early Warning Systems and products. In 2009 I submitted an article on the title Drought Monitoring and Prediction in Africa; Improving Drought Early Warning in the Context of Drought Preparedness and development of Mitigation Strategies, a contribution to UNISDR 2009 Collaborative Publication entitled MANAGING DROUGHT RISK.
Peter van Oevelen
GEWEX, USA
I am a CLIVAR staff scientist and my responsibilities include support and coordinating the CLIVAR modeling groups (WGCM, WGSIP, and WGOMD) as well as the CLIVAR-PAGES intersection panel, and the CCl/CLIVAR/JCOMM ETCCDI. I also support the WCRP cross cutting activities on Climate Extremes, Decadal Predictability and Seasonal Prediction. See here for a brief profile.
Xavier Rodo
Catalan Institute for Climate Sciences (IC3), Spain
Mathieu Rouault
University of Cape Town, South Africa
I am a researcher at the Oceanography Dept at University of Cape Town, South Africa where I have worked since 1992. Due to the strong association between ocean and climate or weather here, I have studied many aspects of the water cycle and also the impact of climate variability on water resources, vegetation and marine ecosystem.
More info on me here and current project at: here (web site is often down due to winter black out). Please visit our new web site here.
Sonia Seneviratne
Swiss Federal Institute for Technology Zurich (ETHZ), Switzerland
I am working at ETH Zurich and interested in land-climate interactions, with a focus on the role of soil moisture for the climate system. Our research group is conducting several studies on drought modeling in both present and future climate conditions, drought-climate interactions (e.g. impact of soil moisture deficits for heat waves), observations and modelling of soil moisture, and soil moisture-climate interactions in general. You can find more information on our research on the following web page: http://www.iac.ethz.ch/groups/seneviratne. In addition, I am coordinating lead author of chapter 3 of the new IPCC SREX report (focusing on extreme events and disasters: http://www.ipcc-wg2.gov/AR5/extremes-sr/authors/writing_team_pb.html), and impacts of climate change for drought occurrence will be an important part of our chapter.
Siegfried Shubert
National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), USA
Soroosh Sorooshian
University of California, USA
Ron Stewart
University of Manitoba, Canada
Jozef Syktus
Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence, Office of Climate Change, Australia
I work at the Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence in Brisbane, Australia. I am climate modeller working on application of global and regional climate models to research the paleoclimates and climate change and variability. In particular our group at QCCCE is contributing climate change simulations using CSIRO Mk3.6 model to the CMIP5 effort and doing dynamical downscaling of climate change projections. My particular interest in relation to WCRP Drought Interest Group is projection of climate extremes, including drought, attribution of climate change with focus on attribution of extremes, impact of land cover and land use and dust on hydrological cycle, drought and extremes, impact of reforestation on extremes under global warming, role of low frequency variability on the non-ENSO droughts in Australia, dynamical understanding of processes causing droughts.
Ricardo Trigo
University of Lisbon, Portugal
I'm the head of the climatology and climate change group at the Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon.
I've been particularly interested on the links between atmospheric circulation (e.g. NAO, blocking events, cut-off-lows, storm-tracks) and different weather-driven natural hazards over western Mediterranean, particularly; floods, droughts, landslides and heatwaves.
Lately I've been also involved on the development of river flow (statistical) models and drought monitoring using satellite information.
List of publications here.
Robert Vautard
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, IPSL, France
I am working at Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL/LSCE) near Paris, and have been working in several climate areas related to droughts/heat waves. My main interest is diagnostic and predictability studies of climate variability: weather regimes, recent climate trends, climate extremes such as heat waves in Europe, but also other type extreme seasons (ex fall 2006). I have done also investigation of impacts of heat waves / droughts on air quality (in particular the 2003 extreme). At the institute (IPSL/LSCE) we also have conducted several studies on the impact of heat waves / droughts on regional carbon balance and statistical studies of the evolution of heat waves and droughts in Europe.
Sergio Vicente
Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Spain
I have been working for the past ten years in different drought-related issues: indicators, variability and impacts. I have worked in different regions and spatial scales. recently, we have developed new techniques and datasets for the drought analysis at a global scale. You can find more information at: http://sac.csic.es/spei/
Guomin Wang
Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Australia
I have been working on the development of coupled model seasonal prediction systems in the past decade at Australian Bureau of Meteorology. In addition I have conducted fundamental and application research on climate variability. In recent 15 years unprecedented drought conditions have developed over southern parts of the Australia, and there is urgent need to answer whether natural variability or human-induced forcing are the causes of the droughts. I believe the forthcoming DIG activities will enhance and improve our capability towards better monitoring, understanding and predicting droughts.
Eric Wood
Princeton University, USA
Elena Xoplaki
University of Bern, Switzerland and Cyprus Institute, Energy, Environment and Water Research Center (EEWRC), Crete
I am interested in the Mediterranean climate where drought is more than a seasonal phenomenon. Currently I am working at the Cyprus Institute at the Energy, Environment and Water Research Center, focusing on climate change and climate change impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East, including user requirements and communication.
Xuebin Zhang
Climate Research Division, Canada
Ma Zhuguo
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China









