International workshop on interdecadal variability of the global monsoons

Location: 
Nanjing, China
Date: 
Monday, 10 September, 2012 - Wednesday, 12 September, 2012

               

 

Venue: Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST)

Organizers: Dr Andy Turner /// Prof. Bin Wang /// Prof Carlos Ereno /// WCRP CLIVAR Asian-Australian Monsoon Panel /// local hosts Prof. Jinzhong Min & Dr Weiyu Pan of NUIST.

Meeting goals 
Agenda
Poster presentations
Registration form
Registration fee
Logistic information


 

Meeting goals

 

Understanding interdecadal variability of the climate system is a prerequisite for attribution of present and future changes under anthropogenic forcing.  The global monsoon systems (Asian-Australian; West African; American Monsoons) exhibit important decadal variations with potential large socio-economic impacts, but there is little consensus on the character of this variability.  Recent studies have highlighted interdecadal variability in:

  • The various regional monsoons;
  • Features embedded in the monsoon, such as tropical cyclones and monsoon depressions;
  • The strength of monsoon teleconnections, impacting the prospect for seasonal prediction.

Major objectives are (a) review evidence of monsoon interdecadal variability collectively and regionally; (b) discuss how these variations are linked to each other and other major modes of interdecadal variability in the global oceans such as the PDO, IPO, or AMO, and to climate change; (c) examine possible mechanisms underlying these interdecadal variations, including in simulations and numerical experiments that address driving physical processes with the goal of assessing the predictability of monsoon interdecadal variations.

Sessions will last around half a day each, consisting of invited speaker(s) and a period of discussion.  The majority of scientific presentations will be made via interactive poster sessions:

  • Session 1: Monsoon decadal variability in the modern observational era (19th/20th centuries).
  • Session 2: What do palaeo-modelling and proxy data tell us about monsoon interdecadal variability?
  • Session 3: Interconnections between the regional monsoons and other modes of climate variability.
  • Session 4: Mechanisms for decadal modulation of the monsoon.
  • Session 5: Using our knowledge of decadal variability to further monsoon prediction and projection.

 

The workshop will provide an overview of the state of knowledge and emerging issues in monsoon interdecadal variability and promote coordinated experimental designs to test possible causes and explore predictability.  The workshop will be of potential interest to climate scientists of the tropical monsoon regions, as well as those with expertise in ENSO and multi-decadal ocean variability, the seasonal forecasting, climate impacts and PAGES communities. We hope to promote current/palaeo-climate collaborations.

We expect attendance of around 80 international scientists including graduate students and early career researchers.  Some limited funding may be available for attendees from some countries.  Please send a short (max 2 page) CV and statement explaining your interest if you wish to be considered for funding.

The call for abstracts is now open until 1 May 2012.  Please specify the main session of interest. 

For further information, to be added to the list of interested participants or send an abstract please contact Dr Andy Turner a.g.turner@reading.ac.uk, cc Prof Bin Wang wangbin@hawaii.edu.

 

Agenda

Final workshop agenda in  format

 

Monday 10 September: Review the present observational evidence of monsoon interdecadal variability

8:30-9:00 local host and workshop introduction 

Session 1: Monsoon decadal variability in the modern observational era

9:00-10:30

Invited talks (session timekeeper Nicholas Jourdain)

Xiu-Qun YANG

Decadal change in East Asian monsoon climate system: Natural variability versus anthropogenic forcing

H ANNAMALAI

Drivers of interdecadal variability of the Asian Summer Monsoon

Zhaobo SUN

Interdecadal Variation Processes of East Asia Summer Monsoon in the 1970's and their relation to the AO

10:30-11:30 

poster session and morning break

Posters on topics discussing:

  • Measures of the global/hemispheric monsoon and its variability
  • Observed modulation of the regional monsoons and their teleconnections

11:30-12:30

Discussion: observed decadal variability of the monsoon (chaired by Ken Sperber with panelists Bin Wang, H Annamalai and Zhaobo Sun)

  • Are there coherent interdecadal variation patterns on the global scale? How are interdecadal variations of the regional monsoons interrelated?

12:30-14:00

Buffet lunch

Session 2: What do palaeo-modelling and observation tell us about monsoon interdecadal variability?

14:00-14:30

Poster introductions

Each poster author to present a single slide introducing their poster for 1-2 minutes

14:30-15:30

Invited talks (session timekeeper Tianjun Zhou)

Ping ZHAO

Comparisons between modern East Asian monsoon variability and those found in cave records from a multi-decadal variability associated with the Asian-Pacific Oscillation during the past 1000 years

Dongxiao WANG

Decadal variability of the climate over the South China Sea inferred from measurement and proxy data

15:30-16:30

Poster session and afternoon break

Posters on topics discussing:

  • Palaeo-monsoon co-variability at the global and regional level.
  • Comparison between palaeo-proxy and observational data of monsoon interdecadal variability.
  • Monsoon tipping points in the proxy record or model data.

16:30-17:30

Discussion: what can palaeo-study teach us about the global monsoons? (led by Andy Turner with panelists Ping Zhao, Dongxiao Wang, Tianjun Zhou and Akio Kitoh)

  • Do we under-utilize palaeo-study in our understanding of the present monsoon variability and future change?
  • How can we use evidence of palaeo-monsoon variations on multi-decadal timescales to constrain monsoon processes in present day simulations?
  • Why are the communities distinct and how can there be better interaction between the communities?

Sub-session: our current skill at monsoon modelling

17:30-18:00

invited talk

Ken SPERBER

quality of monsoon simulation in the CMIP5 and CMIP3 integrations

18:00 

Ice-breaker and evening reception with conference dinner

 

Tuesday 11 September: Connection between interdecadal monsoon variations and other major modes of interdecadal variability (such as PDO, IPO, or AMO) and the effects of climate change

Session 3: Interconnections between the monsoon regions and decadal variability in the context of climate change

9:00-11:00 

Invited talks (session timekeeper Bin Wang)

Nagaraju CHILUKOTI / K ASHOK

Decadal changes in the relationship between the Indian and Australian summer monsoons

Yihui DING

Observed Inter-decadal weakening of the Asian summer monsoon and different response of South and East Asian monsoons during a warming climate scenario

Bodo AHRENS

Variability, climate change or drift in the Indian summer monsoon as simulated by the regional climate model COSMO-CLM

Bin WANG

What drives Decadal variability of the global monsoon?

11:00-12:00 

Poster session and morning break

Posters on topics discussing:

  • Measures of the global/hemispheric monsoon and its variability
  • Observed modulation of the regional monsoons and their teleconnections

12:00-13:00

Discussion: Interconnection and co-variability of the monsoons (led by Bin Wang with panelists, Yihui Ding, Xiu-Qun Yang and Bodo Ahrens)

  • Do we have the right observational systems to make inter-monsoon comparisons?
  • Is the level of data sharing appropriate?
  • Have we learned enough about the processes involved in decadal variability to be able to put anthropogenic climate change of the monsoons in context?
  • How can we use palaeo-climate simulations to guide us as to the range of future change?

13:00-14:00 

 

Session 4: Mechanisms for decadal modulation of the monsoon

14:00-16:00

Invited talks (session timekeeper Andy Turner)

Buwen DONG

Atlantic Ocean influence on the interdecadal Asian Summer Monsoon and its interaction with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation

Jianping LI

Decadal change in annular modes and their linkage with East Asian monsoon

Zhiwei WU

Modulation of the Tibetan Plateau snow cover on the ENSO teleconnections: From the East Asian summer monsoon perspective

Jacob SCHEWE

A critical humidity threshold for monsoon transitions

16:00-17:00 

Poster session and afternoon break

Posters on topics discussing:

  • Connections between drivers and global & regional monsoons
  • Interaction between drivers or their associated modes of monsoon variability and anthropogenic warming

17:00-18:00

Discussion: mechanisms and model representation of interdecadal modes (led by Jianping Li with panelists Buwen Dong, Zhiwei Wu and Jacob Schewe)

  • Proposals and ideas for coordinated multi-model experiments to test mechanisms of drivers of the monsoons and modulators of monsoon-ENSO teleconnections.
  • Do our models represent AMO/IPO well enough that we can learn anything about their relationships with the monsoon?

o    Do we have enough observed data to test our models?

o    Do we know enough about the processes involved in these phenomena?

18:00

Buffet dinner

 

Wednesday 12 September: Decadal monsoon prediction

Session 5: Using our knowledge of decadal variability to further monsoon prediction

9:00-10:30

Invited talks (session timekeeper Matthieu Lengaigne)

Noel KEENLYSIDE

Near-term climate prediction: new opportunities and challenges

Harry HENDON

Decadal variation of ENSO predictability

Kyung-Ja HA

Interdecadal Change in the Relationship between ENSO and the Intraseasonal Oscillation in East Asia

10:30-11:30 

Poster session and morning break

11:30-12:30 

Discussion: barriers to better dynamical prediction and the impact of ENSO diversity (led by Harry Hendon with panelists Noel Keenlyside, Kyung-Ja Ha and Matthieu Lengaigne)

  • What are the barriers to better dynamical prediction of monsoon decadal variability?
  • What is the status of dynamical seasonal forecasting in the context of different ENSO flavours and background state conditions?

o    The IOD or Modoki-mode ENSO.

o    Role of the mean state.

12:30-13:00 

Synthesis of rapporteurs’ comments and meeting wrap-up

  • Tentative outcomes
  • Actions going forward

13:00

Buffet lunch

 

Poster presentations

 

Hua CHEN: Decadal Global Monsoon in CCSM3
Deepesh JAIN: Interdecadal variability of the Indian monsoon in an atmospheric general circulation model
Nicolas JOURDAIN: Variability of the Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation
Hisayuki KUBOTA: Interdecadal variability of western North Pacific summer monsoon through the Pacific-Japan (PJ) pattern
Niranjan KUMAR: On the interdecadal variation of intensity if tropical cyclones in the Arabian Sea: role of ocean heat content
Yuwei LIU: Evidence of coordinated weakening of the Asian and West African monsoons and links to North Atlantic cooling
Elinor MARTIN: Multi-decadal variability of West African rainfall in observations and CMIP5 simulations
Zhengguo SHI: Orbital-scale Pacific/East Asia teleconnection and anti-phased variations of summer precipitation
Ruifang WANG: Typhoon track changes associated with global warming
Baoqiang XIANG: Decadal Changes of Asian Summer Monsoon Onset
Junpeng YUAN: Influence of Indian Ocean dipole mode on North Indian Ocean tropical cyclones
Wen ZHOU: Possible connection between Pacific Oceanic interdecadal pathway and East Asian Winter monsoon
Liuming HU: IMBER Themes and Regional Programmes
 

Registration fee

The registration fee is $180, and covers participants' lunch and dinner costs.

 

Logistic information provided by NUIST

 

Accommodations

We have made a block reservation at a preferential rate (see below) for standard rooms at the

1. The Nanqi hotel (three star), which is on the campus of the Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology (NUIST) and within a walking distance to workshop venue. The rate for a standard room (double bed) is about $40 per night.

2. Venice hotel (four star), which is located about 10 km away from the NUIST campus. Bus transportation will be arranged to take participants to the meeting (takes about 30 min). The room rate is about $70 per night.

Tax and service charge are included in the room rate. Broadband Internet access in guest rooms is free.

 

Room Type

NanQi Hotel (RMB/night)

Nanjing Suning Venice Hotel

(RMB/night)

Single Room

¥170 (without breakfast)

¥438 (with breakfast)

Double Room

¥170 (without breakfast)

¥400 (with breakfast)

Suite

¥380 (without breakfast)

¥1088 (at least, with breakfast)

﹡¥20 for one breakfast in NanQi Hotel

 

HOTEL RESERVATIONS WILL BE MADE BY NUIST BASED ON THE INFORMATION PROVIDED IN THE REGISTRATION FORM.

Please make sure that you register upon your arrival with the help of volunteers in the lobby of each hotel and submit the materials required for reimbursement if you are supported by NUIST.

 

After-conference Tour Arrangement (Optional

 

Yangzhou Tour (Sept. 15-16, 2012)

1. Hotel information

  Yangzhou Slender West Lake Hot Spring Resort is a four star hotel located by the picturesque Slender West Lake. The resort is equipped with elaborately designed diverse guest rooms, the Chinese-western cafeteria that can hold over 800 people, 68 shaped hot spring pools with different functions, various kinds of SPA that can relax your mind and the health management plan specially made for the gusts. Around the resort, there are abundant tourism resources---Slender West Lake, Million Flowers Garden, Daming Temple, Guanyin Mountain, Han Tomb Garden, The Window of World animals, Ge Garden and many other famous scenic spots.

Website: http://www.shouxihuwenquan.com/en/index.html

2. Attractions introduction

Slender West Lake: Slender West Lake, like an ink painting unrolled in right order, wanders on the territory of Yangzhou city. The boat travels in the water and visitors travels in the picture. The drizzle is like silk. The smoke and the water combine to produce a kind of mist. The shine of the wave is very clear like the slender waist of a beauty, delicate and attractive. It is suitable to travel on water when appreciating the slender west lake. The boat is floating with the wave and the visitor can appreciate the scenery carefully, the smoke and wave, red balustrade and small bridge, shadow and scent. The dreamy and brocade-like green and blossom extends to the water of the lake, creating a lifelike picture with the sound of oaring.

He Garden: when you visit the He garden, you need to visit the both the upstairs and downstairs with a zigzag route at the low and high elevation. The 1500-meter double-way corridor is hailed as the rudiment of overpass. The window with flowers as decoration is foiled by the scenery. With the foil of the false mountain, the water and the pond complements with each other. A small town takes the sky light, cloud, bird’s chips, and flower fragrance in its arms. The romantic time flows out during the finger on the wooden corridor.

Ge Garden: the bamboo in the garden is very green. The strong branches extend the vicissitudes of 190 years and form the wandering and green scenery for you. “The mountain is very quiet in spring, and is very green in summer, and is very clear in autumn and is very dim and sleepy in winder”. The four seasons are experienced in the way. We can hardly sigh with the short life and see the “Land of Idyllic Beauty” when lifting our head. Out of the wall made of blue brick and red tile is a different world.

3. Tour arrangement

Day 1 - Sept. 15, 2012

8:30  Head to Yangzhou from Nanjing; visit the Slender West Lake before lunch at Yangzhou Slender West Lake Hot Spring Resort.

14:00  Enjoy hot spring SPA at the hotel.

18:00  Supper at the hotel.

Day 2 - Sept. 16, 2012

8:30  Visit He Garden and Ge Garden after breakfast.

12:00  Lunch at Fuchun Tea House, then head back to Nanjing.

4. Price

USD 300/person (Including Air-conditioning Tour Bus, Twice Lunch, Once Dinner, Tour Guide, Scenic Zone Tickets, Hotel and Insurance)

Hotel: RMB 620/person (RMB 48/person for buffet breakfast and RMB 188/person for hot spring SPA included) or RMB 550/person (only RMB 48/person for Buffet Breakfast included).

Dinner: day 1 – RMB 100/person for lunch buffet, RMB 140/person for supper buffet;

      day 2 – RMB 100/person for lunch at Fuchun Tea House.

Tickets: RMB 90/person for the Slender West Lake, RMB 45/person each for He Garden and Ge Garden.

Tour Guide: RMB 800/group.

Transportation: RMB 4000/ Air-conditioning Tour Bus.

 

 

Mount Huangshan Tour (Sept. 15 – 17, 2012)

1. Attraction information

Mount Huangshan: Huangshan, known as 'the loveliest mountain of China', was acclaimed through art and literature during a good part of Chinese history (e.g. the Shanshui 'mountain and water' style of the mid-16th century). Today it holds the same fascination for visitors, poets, painters and photographers who come on pilgrimage to the site, which is renowned for its magnificent scenery made up of many granite peaks and rocks emerging out of a sea of clouds.

Website: http://www.chinahuangshan.gov.cn/english/index.htm

Dunxi Old Street: Lying in the center of Tunxi district, Huangshan city, Tunxi Old Street is 832 meters long and 5-8 meters wide. With hundreds of years of history contained here, the street boasts some of the best-preserved buildings in the architectural styles of the Song, Ming and Qing dynasties. A commercial street for pedestrians only, there row upon row of shops, the buildings simple but elegant. Tunxi Old Street dates since the Song Dynasty. It gradually became a distribution center for goods and materials bound for Huizhou during the Ming and Qing dynasties.

2. Tour Arrangement

Day 1: Depart from Nanjing to the Mount Huangshan scenic spot (about 5 hours travel). Check in Beihai Hotel or other four star hotel. After lunch at the hotel, take cable car up to the peak to enjoy natural landscapes

Day 2: Enjoy the breathtaking Sunrise sight in the early morning (depends on the weather condition); climb and view the second highest peak – the Bright Summit Peak; Check out and take cable car down. After lunch and rest, leave for Dunxi Old Street. Check in hotel then tour at the Dunxi Old Street.

Day 3: Leave for Nanjing.

3. Price

USD 600/person (Including Air-conditioning Tour Bus, Twice Breakfast, Twice Lunch, Twce Dinner, Tour Guide, Scenic Zone Tickets, Shuttle Bus, Cable Car, Hotel and Insurance)

Hotel (breakfast not included): RMB 1280/person at the Mount, RMB 400/person at Dunxi. All are four star hotels.

Dinner: RMB 140/person for buffet breakfast; RMB 140/person for lunch; RMB 70/person for supper.

Tickets: RMB 230/person for Mount Huangshan Gate ticket; RMB 160/person for the cable car (up and down); RMB 38/person for the Shuttle Bus.

Tour Guide: RMB 1200/group.

Transportation: RMB 6000/ Air-conditioning Tour Bus.

 

Transportation

 

Nanjing is accessible by air and train. There are international flights that can directly reach Nanjing. Nanjing can also be accessed via domestic flights from Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou and many other cities. You can arrange your flights according to your convenience.

We recommend you to arrive at Shanghai Pudong international airport, then take the high speed train from Shanghai to Nanjing. The detailed information from Shanghai to Nanjing is provided below.

 
Access by high speed train (about 75 min) from Shanghai to Nanjing

 

1. At Pudong international airport, NUIST volunteers will meet you and escort you to the subway named ‘Pudong international airport station’ from there you take the No. 2 subway line to the Shanghai Hongqiao railway station by yourself.

2. At Hongqiao railway station, buy a high speed train ticket to Nanjing South railway station (The train is very frequent).

 
Railway timetable

3. When you arrive at Nanjing South railway station, NUIST volunteers will meet you and guide you to the nearby taxi station.

It is not recommended to take airplane from Shanghai to Nanjing as it may be more time consuming.

 

Access by air from international or domestic flights
 
By air, you will landed at the Nanjing Lukou international port. There will be volunteers at the Nanjing Lukou international airport to escort you to the taxi station.

We need your following information via email. (apan@nuist.edu.cn)

1) Name

2) Flight number

2) Arrival date and time

 

Local transportation to Hotel

Volunteers will wait for you at the airport or railway station with the Leadership sign. In case that volunteers miss you at the airport or railway station, attached below is the address of the Hotels and Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology both in English and Chinese– you can show it to the taxi driver at the airport or railway station (note that if you need reimbursement please ask for printed taxi receipt). You may call the number listed below in case of emergencies.

 
Leadership sign at the airport:

Welcome to Monsoon Decadal Workshop

 

Useful phrases for finding your way:

Please bring me to the Hongqiao railway station on Minhang Distinct, Shanghai.

请送我到上海虹桥火车站,地址:上海市闵行区虹桥机场附近。

 

Could you tell me how to reach the Shanghai Hongqiao railway wicket? Thank you.

请问上海虹桥火车站的售票口怎么走?谢谢!

 

Please bring me to the Venice Hotel on No.608 Jingxin Road Pukou Distinct, Nanjing.

请送我到威尼斯水城宾馆,地址:南京浦口区沿江街道京新608号。

 

Please bring me to Nanqi Hotel at Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology on No.219 Ningliu Road Pukou Distinct, Nanjing.

请送我到南京信息工程大学南气宾馆,地址:南京浦口宁六路219号。

 

Emergency Calls: Mr. Pan 13913831176; Mr. Min: 13851585458

IESD Office telephone: +86-25-58731578  58731186

 
Public transportation information for your reference

We provide the following information on public transportation for your reference. When you get off from taxi, there will be volunteers on main entrance of the NUIST to direct you to the Guest House.

 

 Pudong International airport to Hongqiao railway station

(Fig. 1)

 1.Subway: From Pudong International Airport take line No2 line and get off at Hongqiao railway station.(28stops)

(Fee: 8yuan, Time 80mins)

2.Taxi: Directly from Pudong International Airport to Hongqiao railway station by taxi (Fee: 220yuan, Time:100mins)

 Hongqiao railway station to Nanjing south railway station

 There are over 100 trains from Shanghai to Nanjing per day from morning to evening.

1.High Speed Train: the first letter of the train name is G.

(Fee:135yuan for second class seat or 230yuan (about $35) for first class seat, Time: 70mins)

Lukou International airport to Nanqi Hotel

(Fig. 2)

 1.Taxi: Directly from Airport to Nanqi Hotel in campus by taxi

(Fee: 230yuan, Time:90mins)

Lukou International airport to Venice Hotel

(Fig. 3)

 1.Taxi: Directly from Airport to Venice Hotel by taxi

(Fee: 200yuan, Time:70mins)

 Nanjing South Railway Station to Venice Hotel

(Fig. 4)

 1.Taxi: Directly from Railway Station to Venice Hotel by taxi

(Fee: 70yuan, Time:50mins)

 Nanjing South Railway Station  to Nanqi Hotel

 (Fig. 5)

 1.Taxi: Directly from Railway Station to Nanqi Hotel in campus by taxi

(Fee: 90yuan, Time:60mins)