VACS meeting – Draft 1

Wednesday, October 22, 2008 - Afternoon Session
14.00	Chair's introduction	Bin Wang, Harry Hendon
14.10	CLIVAR/WCRP report	Carlos Ereno
*Develop strategy for AAMP contributions to WCRP seasonal and decadal prediction experiments*
14.25	WGSIP perspective	Ben Kirtman (Harry Hendon present)
14.45	Air-sea interaction in the Indian Ocean/AAM region	Gabe Vecchi
15.00	Exploring potential predictability of the Indian Ocean	Gabe Vecchi
15.15	Report from Pacific Panel	Bo Qiu
15..30	Discussion on possible joint (WGSIP/IOP/PP)modelling/prediction activity	Harry Hendon
15.50	Current status on the proposed field campaign CINDY 2011	Kunio Yoneyama
16.10	TRIO	Gabe Vecchi
16.25	Discussion of contribution to developing research proposals for a field program in the Eq IO in 2011 (CINDY) and TRIO	Harry Hendon
16.45	Break
*Direction for monsoon research*
17.00	What are the most important common issues for improved monsoon simulation, prediction, and future projections?	Harry Hendon
17.05	Uncertainty in future monsoon extreme projections	Andy Turner
17.20	Prospectus on monsoon ISO simulation and prediction	Ken Sperber
17.35	MJO Working Group: Status and plans	Duane Waliser
	Issues in seasonal forecasts of the Indian monsoon	M. Rajeevan
	Session continues Friday afternoon
18.00	Dinner
Thursday, October 23, 2008, Morning
08.40	Scientific presentations on IWM4 - Convection
10.20	Break
10.35	Scientific presentations on IWM4 - Aerosol and Snow
11.30	Lunch

12.40	Bus to IAP
Thursday, October 23, 2008, Afternoon
Venue move to Institute for Atmospheric Physics with the IAP 80th anniversary commemoration.
13.30	Seasonal forecast, intraseasonal and subseasonal monsoon forecast lectures at the WMO Training workshop
14.20	photo
14.40	Pan-WCRP monsoon session. Welcome AAMP member to participate
	Introduction to the workshop	T.Yasunari
(1) monsoon and global climate
	Role of monsoons on global climate	C.R. Mechoso
	Role of land surface processes	T.Yasunari
	Role of ocean processes	Tim Li
	Monsoon change under global warming	A. Kitoh
(2) cloud/precipitation systems in monsoons
	Multi-scale interactions from diurnal to intraseasonal time-scales	Duane Waliser, K. Sperber
	Status of NICAM for monsoon cloud/precipitation systems	M. Satoh
	Status of RCMs in regional monsoon modeling	Y Q Wang
	Observational network for cloud/precipitation systems	Yamanaka
18.00	IAP Reception
	Bus to Hotels
Friday, October 24, 2008, Morning
08.40	Scientific presentations on IWM4 - Land and Ocean Processes
10.10	Break
Joint AAMP-9, AMY-5, and Pan-WCRP IMS Session
10.25	CLIVAR Asian/Australian Monsoon Panel cross cut	Bin Wang
10.45	CLIVAR VAMOS	Hugo Berbery
11.05	GEWEX/CEOP Monsoon Study	Jun Matsumoto
11.25	GEWEX aerosol/monsoon study	K.M. Lau
11.45	WMP/WGCM monsoon modeling	J. Shukla
12.05	WMO monsoon/tropical climatology	CP Chang
12.25	Lunch
Friday, October 24, 2008, Afternoon
*Direction for monsoon research (continued)*
14.00	What are the most important common issues for improved monsoon simulation, prediction, and future projection?	Harry Hendon
14.00	Status and issues of prediction in AAM region	In-Sik Kang
14.15	Austral/Indonesian region: research activities and issues	Holger Meinke
14.30	Discussion of summary report to WCRP on current status/direction of monsoon simulation and prediction including MJO WG advice	Bin Wang
Joint AAMP-9, AMY-5 Session
15.45	Status and plans for AMY Briefing	Jun Matsumoto
15.55	Discussion of development of AMY coordinated modelling tasks including coordinated hindcast experiments for Monsoon intraseasonal prediction and its impact on seasonal forecast	Led by Bin Wang, Harry Hendon, Akio Kitoh, In-Sik Kang, Ken Sperber
17.45	End the Joint Session
Friday, October 24, 2008, Evening
18.00	What can we do to promote improved uptake of monsoon predictions? (intraseasonal-seasonal-decadal-climate change)	Holger Meinke
18.20	AAMP business: membership, co-chairs, panel functionality
18.45	Actions items (Carlos) including summary of AAMP activities in IWM4	Co-chairs
19.00	AAMP9 ends
Saturday, October 25, 2008, Morning
08.30	Pan-WCRP Plenary discussion & future plan	G.X.Wu and T.Yasunari
10.30	Break
10.40	Pan-WCRP Plenary discussion & future plan (cont.)	G.X.Wu and T.Yasunari
12.10	Close

Scientific presentations of panel members at the WMO 4th International Workshop Monsoons (IWM-IV)

Year of Tropical Convection (YOTC): a Joint WWRP and WCRP Activity to Address the Challenges of Multi-Scale Organized Convection	Duane Waliser
Concept and Long Term Change of the Global Monsoon	Bin Wang
Seasonal Prediction of Australian Summer Monsoon Rainfall	Harry Hendon
Modelling Monsoons: Understanding and Predicting Current and Future Behaviour	Julia Slingo and Andrew Turner
Intraseasonal Prediction and Predictability for Boreal Winter	In-Sik Kang
Coupled Model Simulations of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal (30-50 days) Variability	Ken Sperber
Why Climate Modelers should Worry about Atmospheric and Oceanic Weather	Ben Kirtman and Gabriel A. Vecchi

Attendees:

Bin Wang – co-chair
Harry Hendon – co-chair
Congbin Fu
In-Sik Kang
Holger Meinke
Madhavan Nair Rajeevan
Andreas Schiller
Ken Sperber
Peter Webster
Bo Qiu
Gabe Vecchi
Jianping LI
Jun Matsumoto
Andrew Turner
Duane Waliser
Kunio Yoneyama
Carlos Ereno

Meeting schedule

IWM-IV overviews in format

IWM-IV program details in format

PWM-2 Agenda in format