VACS Southern and Eastern African Climate Predictability Workshop:

Dar es Salaam 10-13th July 2006

This page lists documents and links for use by the workshop participants. (last update 5.7.06)

The Climate Predictability Tool

iri.columbia.edu/outreach/software/

Background document on regionalisation techniques (Jospeh Intsiful presentation).

Background document on statistical post-processing (Willem Landman).

Background references:

Chiang, J. C. H. and Sobel, A. H., 2002. Tropical tropospheric temperature variations caused by ENSO and their influence on the remote tropical climate, J. Climate, 15, 2616-2631(link to article)

Goddard, L. and Graham, N. E., 1999. Importance of the Indian Ocean for simulating rainfall anomalies over eastern and southern Africa, J. Geophys. Res.,104(D16), 19099-19116, 10.1029/1999JD900326 (link to article)

Reason, C.J.C., W. Landman, W. Tennant, 2006: Seasonal to Decadal Prediction of Southern African Climate and Its Links with Variability of the Atlantic Ocean, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 87(7), 941-955 (link to article)

Schott, F and J. McCreary, 2001: The monsoon circulation of the Indian Ocean. Prog. Ocean., 51, 1-123 (link to article)

REMINDER:

In order to make the most of the workshop we would like all the participants to do the following:

- bring any monthly (or preferably daily) rainfall data for some representative stations, or a region, of their country

- before attending consult with their colleagues as to what their agency feels is the biggest *scientific* issue / challenge / problem with their forecasting efforts (e.g., do they have difficulty with predicting the onset of the rainy season; are previously used relationships between rain, SST and / or circulation becoming unreliable, unstable etc ?)

- bring along any specific data relating to end user applications (health, agriculture, bush fires, water resources, forestry, fisheries, tourism etc) that their agency would like analysed.

Remember that there will also be space for you to display posters.

For further details contact Chris Reason (VACS co-chair) or Nico Caltabiano (ICPO staffer).

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