Science Highlights

Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information is key in the Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change

The scientific challenge is extreme due to the rich complexity of interactions and feedbacks between regional and global processes, each of which affects the global climate trajectory. Technical development, international coordination, and a close interaction between the science and stakeholder communities are also required.

Eastern Pacific El Niño is projected to intensify under global warming

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most consequential climate phenomenon on Earth; the eastern Pacific El Niño is associated with flooding in eastern Pacific regions and droughts in western Pacific regions. However, a lack of inter-model consensus regarding the response of eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures - a crucial diagnostic for the eastern Pacific El Niño - means that the effect of global warming on the ENSO remains uncertain for decades. 

Equatorial-origin wave signals contributing to the Eddy Kinetic Energy in the Bay of Bengal

The complicated communications between the BOB and the equatorial Indian Ocean through both ocean and atmospheric teleconnections are one of the most important aspects of the tropical Indian Ocean climate. By analyzing satellite observational data and ocean general circulation model experiments, this study investigates the key processes that determine the spatial distribution and seasonality of intraseasonal eddy kinetic energy (EKE) within the Bay of Bengal (BOB).

Southwestern Indian Ocean heat content is a better predictor of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall compared to the existing indices

Figure: Coefficient of variability (relative magnitude of the standard deviation to the average value) of SST and OMT during 1993–2017 (Courtesy: SCIENTIFIC REPORTS | (2018) 8:12092 | DOI:10.1038/s41598-018-30552-0).

An early career perspective on the future of CLIVAR

The Early Career Scientists Symposium was held alongside the 2016 CLIVAR Open Science Conference in Qingdao, hosted by the First Institute of Oceanography. The Symposium aimed to capture the ideas of early career researchers on pressing science priorities, immediate challenges, and emerging opportunities to help guide the future evolution of CLIVAR. 135 early career scientist (ECS) from 34 countries traveled to Qingdao and discussed their vision for the future of CLIVAR.

Ice-free Arctic projections under the Paris Agreement

Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, nations agreed to limit global mean warming to 2°C, while also working toward the more ambitious goal of limiting warming to 1.5°C. However, current pledges to support the Paris Agreement would only limit global warming to 3°C. Would meeting the Paris temperature goals be sufficient to avoid an ice-free Arctic?