WGSIP

WORKING GROUP ON SEASONAL AND INTERANNUAL PREDICTION

Terms of reference

Develop a programme of numerical experimentation for seasonal-to-interannual variability and predictability, paying special attention to assessing and improving predictions;
Develop appropriate data assimilation, model initialization and forecasting procedures for seasonal-to-interannual predictions, considering such factors as observing system evaluation, use of ensemble and probabilistic methods and statistical and empirical enhancements, and measures of forecast skill;